Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 5791 · LGA → JAX
departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 11:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±9 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
-
-
-
-
How late will it get to JAX?
-
On time or early
45%
-
15–30 min late
<1%
-
30 min–1 hour late
15%
-
1–2 hours late
13%
-
Over 2 hours late
9%
-
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.