Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1002SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1002 · MSN → CLT
departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 10:16 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.