Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1033 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1033 · CLT → IND

departs 10:29 PM ET · arrives 12:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±4 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.74 in

IND (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1033 · CLT → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?