AA 1184 · BOS → MIA

departs 6:18 PM ET · arrives 9:52 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1184 · BOS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?