Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1216 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 1216 · CLT → BWI

departs 8:44 AM ET · arrives 9:45 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into BWI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.51 in

BWI (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1216 · CLT → BWI

Odds over time