AA 1244 · CLT → CLE

took off 2:32 PM ET · landed 3:34 PM ET (scheduled 2:18 PM ET → 3:54 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLE?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.44 in

CLE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1244 · CLT → CLE

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLE?