Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1249SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1249 · LGA → MIA
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 9:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
7%chance · ±1 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.