AA 1384 · CLT → GRR

took off 12:36 PM ET · expected to land 1:53 PM ET (scheduled 12:12 PM ET → 2:11 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GRR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.42 in

GRR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1384 · CLT → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?