AA 1388 · PLS → MIA

departs 1:07 PM EDT · arrives 3:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PLS

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

PLS (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1388 · PLS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?