Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1416SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1416 · PHL → BOS
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
8%chance · ±0 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.