Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1416 · PHL → BOS
departs 10:30 AM ET · arrives 12:03 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to BOS?
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On time or early
90%
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15–30 min late
<1%
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30 min–1 hour late
4%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.