Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1419 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1419 · CLT → AUS

departs 10:13 AM ET · arrives 12:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ 10am departures from CLT are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

AUS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1419 · CLT → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?