Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1443 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1443 · CLT → BDL

departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.54 in

BDL (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1443 · CLT → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?