Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1468SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1468 · MIA → SAT
departs 9:52 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
33%chance · ±5 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.