AA 1508 · SAL → MIA

took off · landed 4:40 PM ET (scheduled 12:23 PM CST → 5:14 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAL

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

SAL (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1508 · SAL → MIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to MIA?