Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1589 LANDED 2:28 PM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AA 1589 · CLT → IND

took off 1:26 PM ET · landed 2:28 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts −23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Arrivals into IND at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

IND (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1589 · CLT → IND

Odds over time