Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1680 LANDED 9:29 PM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AA 1680 · MSY → MIA

took off 6:54 PM CT · landed 9:29 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 733 ft, visibility down to 0.75 mi, 2.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ MSY usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1680 · MSY → MIA

Odds over time