Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1736 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 1736 · CLT → DEN

departs 6:32 PM ET · arrives 8:17 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.79 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1736 · CLT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?