Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1763 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1763 · CLT → DSM

departs 11:31 AM ET · arrives 12:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DSM?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Arrivals into DSM at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.54 in

DSM (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1763 · CLT → DSM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DSM?