Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1790SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1790 · PHX → DTW
departs 9:56 AM MT · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±2 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.