tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1790 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1790 · PHX → DTW

departs 9:56 AM MT · arrives 4:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DTW?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.