tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1856 LANDED 12:47 PM ET, ~4 MIN LATE
Yesterday

AA 1856 · SDQ → MIA

took off · landed 12:47 PM ET (scheduled 10:19 AM AST → 12:50 PM ET)
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 8h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to MIA?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.