Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1882 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1882 · CLT → RIC

departs 10:50 PM ET · arrives 12:05 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 10pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RIC that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.08 in

RIC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.55 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1882 · CLT → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?