Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1945 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 1945 · DFW → IND

departs 4:11 PM CT · arrives 7:24 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 69h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±7 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.33 in

IND (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1945 · DFW → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?