Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 203 LANDED 4:01 PM ET, ~89 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AA 203 · BUF → CLT

took off 2:23 PM ET · landed 4:01 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUF

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

BUF (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 203 · BUF → CLT

Odds over time