Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2062 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2062 · MCO → DCA

departs 2:37 PM ET · arrives 4:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±3 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 2pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

DCA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2062 · MCO → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?