Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2074SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2074 · CLT → MCO
departs 10:09 AM ET · arrives 11:57 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±3 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.