Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2092 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 2092 · MCO → MIA

departs 3:39 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 3pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

MIA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2092 · MCO → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?