Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2127 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3

AA 2127 · CLT → MCO

departs 11:13 AM ET · arrives 1:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 11am departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCO usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.07 in

MCO (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2127 · CLT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?