Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2170 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2170 · CLT → MSY

departs 11:55 AM ET · arrives 12:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at MSY that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ MSY is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.54 in

MSY (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling467 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.41 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2170 · CLT → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?