tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2205 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2205 · PHX → MIA

departs 10:00 PM MT · arrives 5:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
14% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 5.1d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    85%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.