Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2227SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2227 · PHX → OMA
departs 1:05 PM MT · arrives 5:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
20%chance · ±4 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.