Schedule: a typical Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2227SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS
AA 2227 · PHX → OMA
departs 1:05 PM MT · arrives 5:42 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 140h before departure
Typical odds
Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Monday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.
Odds over time
Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±11 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARELow. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
How late will it get to OMA?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.