Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2230 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2230 · MIA → IAH

departs 10:15 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 64h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to IAH?

  1. On time or early
    64%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.