Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2230SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2230 · MIA → IAH
departs 10:15 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
35%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.