AA 2384 · CLT → MDT

took off 9:14 AM ET · landed 10:16 AM ET (scheduled 8:47 AM ET → 10:25 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MDT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

MDT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2384 · CLT → MDT

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDT?