AA 2413 · ILM → CLT

took off 4:43 PM ET · landed 5:22 PM ET (scheduled 3:22 PM ET → 4:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ILM that day

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ILM (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip2.31 in

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2413 · ILM → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?