Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2427 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2427 · RSW → CLT

departs 10:00 AM ET · arrives 12:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↓ 10am departures from RSW are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

RSW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2427 · RSW → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?