Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2444 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2444 · CLT → RSW

departs 1:10 PM ET · arrives 3:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±4 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into RSW at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.08 in

RSW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2444 · CLT → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?