Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2484 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 2484 · ORD → SAN

departs 6:51 AM CT · arrives 9:08 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
12% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.4d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAN?

  1. On time or early
    87%
  2. 15–30 min late
    6%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.