Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2484SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2484 · ORD → SAN
departs 6:49 AM CT · arrives 9:04 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
9%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.