Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2492 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:27 AM ET, ETA 8:43 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 2492 · GRR → CLT

took off 7:27 AM ET · expected to land 8:43 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ 7am departures from GRR are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GRR

Weather at each end

GRR (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2492 · GRR → CLT

Odds over time