Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2529 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2529 · SEA → CLT

departs 1:10 PM PT · arrives 9:20 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 1pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2529 · SEA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?