Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2562 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2562 · CLT → SFO

departs 9:40 AM ET · arrives 12:19 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.83 in

SFO (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2562 · CLT → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?