Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2566 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2566 · CLT → PVD

departs 8:52 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PVD?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.08 in

PVD (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling6,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2566 · CLT → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?