Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2594 LANDED 6:27 AM ET, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 2594 · BDL → DCA

took off 5:30 AM ET · landed 6:27 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from BDL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2594 · BDL → DCA

Odds over time