AA 2679 · PVD → CLT

departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
31%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

↓ CLT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.83 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2679 · PVD → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?