Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2697 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2697 · DCA → SRQ

departs 8:20 AM ET · arrives 10:53 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±6 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SRQ is prone to delays

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day

↑ 8am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.03 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2697 · DCA → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?