Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2807SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2807 · PHL → TPA
departs 7:32 AM ET · arrives 10:19 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±0 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.