Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2807
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2807 · PHL → TPA
departs 7:32 AM ET · arrives 10:19 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPA?
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On time or early
91%
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15–30 min late
3%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
1%
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Over 2 hours late
1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.