Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2808 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2808 · XNA → CLT

departs 11:10 AM CT · arrives 2:26 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Other factors

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at XNA that day

↓ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

XNA (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.54 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2808 · XNA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?